Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

MLB · Sun, Sep 13, 2:11 PM EDT

AI Pick
Milwaukee BrewersSpread-1.5+120on Bovada
Confidence 97/99 (Slight Value)Market prob 48.1%Edge 2.6%
Why this pick

Milwaukee Brewers have 15 factors working in their favor: 93-56 overall (62% win rate). 52-25 at home (68%). On a 5-game winning streak. Concerns: Bullpen threw 8.3 IP across last 2 games. The tight -1.5-point spread indicates a close game despite being favored. Low-scoring defensive game projected (O/U 8).

Factors driving the pick
+
Strong Record
93-56 overall (62% win rate)
+
Home Dominance
52-25 at home (68%)
+
Winning Streak
On a 5-game winning streak
+
Record Advantage
Significantly better record than Cincinnati Reds (62% vs 47%)
+
Hot Streak
5-1 in last week
+
Form Advantage
Playing much better recently than Cincinnati Reds
+
Recent Margin Edge
+4.0 PPG margin vs Cincinnati Reds -6.2
+
Home Field
Playing at home — crowd, routine, and familiarity advantage
+
Recent Pitching Edge
Robert Gasser 2.51 vs Chase Burns 5.11 over last 3 starts
+
Elite Pitching Staff
3.53 team ERA
+
Staff ERA Edge
1.31 ERA better than opponent's staff
+
Staff WHIP Edge
1.18 WHIP vs opponent's 1.44
+
Run Differential Edge
+2.3 run differential per game vs opponent
+
Opponent Bullpen Fatigued
Opponent bullpen threw 10.0 IP across last 2 games
-
Bullpen Fatigued
Bullpen threw 8.3 IP across last 2 games
+
Opponent Bullpen Cold
Opponent bullpen at 15.30 ERA over last 2 games (10.0 IP)
Best lines available
+120
Bovada
+118
FanDuel
+110
BetMGM
+108
BetRivers
+108
LowVig.ag

Frequently asked

What is SlateSense's pick for Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers?

SlateSense's AI model picks Milwaukee Brewers Spread (-1.5) at +120 on Bovada, with a confidence of 97/99 (Slight Value).

When does Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers start?

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers is scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 (MLB). Times listed are ET.

What are the best odds for Milwaukee Brewers Spread (-1.5)?

Best available: Bovada (+120), FanDuel (+118), BetMGM (+110).

How does SlateSense generate its picks?

SlateSense scores each side of every game across 50+ factors including team records, recent form, pitcher/goalie matchups, line movement, weather, injuries, rest, advanced metrics (run differential, net rating, etc.), and market disagreement. The model picks the side with the larger factor score when the gap is meaningful.

See every pick across every sport

Sign up free for the full slate, save bets to track your ROI, and ask Sharp AI about any parlay.

Create Free Account

Updated every 15 minutes. Always do your own research.