Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros

MLB · Wed, Jun 17, 2:11 PM EDT

AI Pick
Detroit TigersSpread-1.5+151on MyBookie.ag
Confidence 58/99 (Lean)Market prob 50.7%Edge 10.9%
Why this pick

Detroit Tigers have 5 factors working in their favor: Casey Mize 1.08 vs Peter Lambert 2.70 over last 3 starts. Casey Mize at 1.08 ERA over last 3 starts. 1.01 ERA better than opponent's staff. Concerns: 12-27 away (31%). Casey Mize hasn't started in 21 days. Bullpen threw 8.3 IP across last 2 games. The tight -1.5-point spread indicates a close game despite being favored. Low-scoring defensive game projected (O/U 8.5).

Factors driving the pick
-
Struggles on Road
12-27 away (31%)
+
Recent Pitching Edge
Casey Mize 1.08 vs Peter Lambert 2.70 over last 3 starts
+
Pitcher Hot
Casey Mize at 1.08 ERA over last 3 starts
-
Pitcher Long Layoff
Casey Mize hasn't started in 21 days
+
Staff ERA Edge
1.01 ERA better than opponent's staff
+
Staff WHIP Edge
1.28 WHIP vs opponent's 1.44
+
Opponent Bullpen Fatigued
Opponent bullpen threw 9.0 IP across last 2 games
-
Bullpen Fatigued
Bullpen threw 8.3 IP across last 2 games
Best lines available
+151
MyBookie.ag
+150
Bovada
+148
LowVig.ag
+147
BetOnline.ag
+145
Fanatics

Frequently asked

What is SlateSense's pick for Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros?

SlateSense's AI model picks Detroit Tigers Spread (-1.5) at +151 on MyBookie.ag, with a confidence of 58/99 (Lean).

When does Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros start?

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros is scheduled for Wednesday, June 17, 2026 (MLB). Times listed are ET.

What are the best odds for Detroit Tigers Spread (-1.5)?

Best available: MyBookie.ag (+151), Bovada (+150), LowVig.ag (+148).

How does SlateSense generate its picks?

SlateSense scores each side of every game across 50+ factors including team records, recent form, pitcher/goalie matchups, line movement, weather, injuries, rest, advanced metrics (run differential, net rating, etc.), and market disagreement. The model picks the side with the larger factor score when the gap is meaningful.

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