Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

MLB · Wed, Aug 26, 7:05 PM EDT

AI Pick
New York YankeesSpread-1.5+171on LowVig.ag
Confidence 97/99 (Slight Value)Market prob 39.8%Edge 2.9%
Why this pick

New York Yankees have 6 factors working in their favor: Playing at home — crowd, routine, and familiarity advantage. Elmer Rodriguez 4.85 vs Peter Lambert 8.56 over last 3 starts. 3.24 team ERA. Concerns: Elmer Rodriguez hasn't started in 66 days. Bullpen at 13.50 ERA over last 1 game (4.0 IP). The tight -1.5-point spread indicates a close game despite being favored. Low-scoring defensive game projected (O/U 9).

Factors driving the pick
+
Home Field
Playing at home — crowd, routine, and familiarity advantage
+
Recent Pitching Edge
Elmer Rodriguez 4.85 vs Peter Lambert 8.56 over last 3 starts
-
Pitcher Long Layoff
Elmer Rodriguez hasn't started in 66 days
+
Elite Pitching Staff
3.24 team ERA
+
Staff ERA Edge
1.41 ERA better than opponent's staff
+
Staff WHIP Edge
1.18 WHIP vs opponent's 1.37
+
Run Differential Edge
+1.1 run differential per game vs opponent
-
Bullpen Cold
Bullpen at 13.50 ERA over last 1 game (4.0 IP)
Best lines available
+171
LowVig.ag
+170
BetRivers
+170
BetOnline.ag
+168
FanDuel
+164
BetUS

Frequently asked

What is SlateSense's pick for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees?

SlateSense's AI model picks New York Yankees Spread (-1.5) at +171 on LowVig.ag, with a confidence of 97/99 (Slight Value).

When does Houston Astros vs New York Yankees start?

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees is scheduled for Wednesday, August 26, 2026 (MLB). Times listed are ET.

What are the best odds for New York Yankees Spread (-1.5)?

Best available: LowVig.ag (+171), BetRivers (+170), BetOnline.ag (+170).

How does SlateSense generate its picks?

SlateSense scores each side of every game across 50+ factors including team records, recent form, pitcher/goalie matchups, line movement, weather, injuries, rest, advanced metrics (run differential, net rating, etc.), and market disagreement. The model picks the side with the larger factor score when the gap is meaningful.

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