New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

MLB · Thu, Jun 18, 6:41 PM EDT

AI Pick
UnderTotal9.5+100on DraftKings
Confidence 76/99 (Moderate)Market prob 71%Edge 21%
Why this pick

Model projects 7.6 runs vs the book's 9.5 line — leans under by 1.9. Supporting: 0.685 + 0.668 = 1.353 team OPS. Concerns: Philadelphia Phillies home park plays +5% to runs; 10.7 IP over last 2 games.

Factors driving the pick
-
Hitter-Friendly Park
Philadelphia Phillies home park plays +5% to runs
+
Combined Offense Cold
0.685 + 0.668 = 1.353 team OPS
-
Away Bullpen Fatigued
10.7 IP over last 2 games
-
Away Bullpen Cold
5.06 ERA over last 2 games
-
Hot Ballpark
92°F — ball carries, offense-friendly
~
Strong Wind
17mph winds — will swing totals depending on direction
+
Run Projection
Projected 7.6 runs vs book line 9.5
Best lines available
+100
DraftKings
-105
Fanatics
-110
FanDuel
-123
LowVig.ag
-125
BetOnline.ag

Frequently asked

What is SlateSense's pick for New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies?

SlateSense's AI model picks Under Under 9.5 at +100 on DraftKings, with a confidence of 76/99 (Moderate).

When does New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies start?

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies is scheduled for Thursday, June 18, 2026 (MLB). Times listed are ET.

What are the best odds for Under Under 9.5?

Best available: DraftKings (+100), Fanatics (-105), FanDuel (-110).

How does SlateSense generate its picks?

SlateSense scores each side of every game across 50+ factors including team records, recent form, pitcher/goalie matchups, line movement, weather, injuries, rest, advanced metrics (run differential, net rating, etc.), and market disagreement. The model picks the side with the larger factor score when the gap is meaningful.

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