Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

MLB · Sat, Jun 13, 7:11 PM EDT

AI Pick
Milwaukee BrewersSpread-1+170on Caesars
Confidence 97/99 (Strong)Market prob 53.4%Edge 16.4%
Why this pick

Milwaukee Brewers have 8 factors working in their favor: 41-25 overall (62% win rate). Philadelphia Phillies without Johan Rojas (CF). Playing at home — crowd, routine, and familiarity advantage. The tight -1-point spread indicates a close game despite being favored. Low-scoring defensive game projected (O/U 8).

Factors driving the pick
+
Strong Record
41-25 overall (62% win rate)
+
Opponent Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies without Johan Rojas (CF)
+
Home Field
Playing at home — crowd, routine, and familiarity advantage
+
Recent Pitching Edge
Jacob Misiorowski 0.43 vs Tanner Banks 3.60 over last 3 starts
+
Pitcher Hot
Jacob Misiorowski at 0.43 ERA over last 3 starts
+
Elite Pitching Staff
3.47 team ERA
+
Run Differential Edge
+1.8 run differential per game vs opponent
+
Opponent Bullpen Cold
Opponent bullpen at 8.10 ERA over last 1 game (3.3 IP)
Best lines available
+170
Caesars
+170
BetMGM
+169
DraftKings
+165
Fanatics
-220
FanDuel

Frequently asked

What is SlateSense's pick for Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers?

SlateSense's AI model picks Milwaukee Brewers Spread (-1) at +170 on Caesars, with a confidence of 97/99 (Strong).

When does Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers start?

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers is scheduled for Saturday, June 13, 2026 (MLB). Times listed are ET.

What are the best odds for Milwaukee Brewers Spread (-1)?

Best available: Caesars (+170), BetMGM (+170), DraftKings (+169).

How does SlateSense generate its picks?

SlateSense scores each side of every game across 50+ factors including team records, recent form, pitcher/goalie matchups, line movement, weather, injuries, rest, advanced metrics (run differential, net rating, etc.), and market disagreement. The model picks the side with the larger factor score when the gap is meaningful.

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